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Paper · arXiv

Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact

Generative artificial intelligence changes how firms reach customers, but standard marketing data do not record how often users see and notice a firm's name in generated answers. We develop Generative Marketing Mix Modeling (GMMM) to estimate the causal effects of Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) and Generative Engine Marketing (GEM). For GEO, GMMM combines repeated generated answers with question counts, shares of use across generative systems, and notice probabilities. For GEM, it combines records of sponsored placements with notice probabilities. GMMM compares expected business responses under alternative treatment sequences and establishes sufficient conditions for identifying the...

AuthorsMasahiro Kato, Daiki Honma, Taka Kato
Primary categorystat.ML
Published10 September 2026
Last updated at source10 September 2026
stat.MLcs.AIcs.LGecon.EMstat.ME
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