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The widening evaluation gap in medical large language model research 2023 to 2026

Large language models are superseded every few quarters; clinical evidence takes years. We asked whether medical research is keeping pace with the systems it evaluates. PubMed returned 11,628 records for January 2023 to June 2026 across fourteen clinical domains, growing 45-fold; 2.5% used a randomised, controlled or prospective design. Evaluation lag, from a study's newest named model release to its own publication, widened from 1.33 to 6.08 quarters. Because discontinued models age mechanically, we benchmarked this against a counterfactual holding model composition fixed: migration to newer systems offset only 56% of the drift (95% CI 50-65). Randomised trials evaluated models a median ...

AuthorsRaad Bin Tareaf, Murad Al-Rajab, Samia Loucif
Primary categorycs.CL
Published10 September 2026
Last updated at source10 September 2026
cs.CL
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