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Paper · arXiv

AVCG: A Generalized Variational Framework for Counterfactual Generation under Hypothesis Distributions

Counterfactual explanations formalize "what-if" scenarios by identifying modifications to an input instance that obtain a desired alternative prediction. Traditionally, whether generated via instance-specific optimization or amortized single pass models, these approaches rely on a single, deterministic point-estimate predictor. However, this ignores predictive uncertainty and hypothesis variability, leading to brittle explanations that frequently become invalid if the underlying model is retrained or updated. To address this fragility, we propose the Amortized Variational Counterfactual Generator (AVCG), a generalized optimization framework that formulates counterfactual generation as opt...

AuthorsJamie Duell, Alejandro Jimenez Rodriguez, Mahault Albarracin
Primary categorycs.LG
Published7 September 2026
Last updated at source7 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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