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Paper · arXiv

Long Horizon Transformer Quantile Fault Prediction for Multi Site Industrial Predictive Maintenance

Long-horizon predictive maintenance requires models to distinguish slowly evolving degradation from normal operating-regime variation over planning windows measured in days rather than hours. This paper evaluates whether an explicit conditional-quantile representation provides an informative classifier interface for this problem. The proposed TQRNN30d framework combines a dual-stage quantile regression neural network (QRNN) feature extractor with a multi-stream temporal fusion classifier. Each hourly word of 81-channel machine behaviour is mapped to a 324-dimensional quantile-state representation, and 720 ordered hourly words form the 30-day document supplied to the long-horizon model. Th...

AuthorsDavid J Poland, Daniele Ravi, Na Helian
Primary categorycs.AI
Published4 September 2026
Last updated at source4 September 2026
cs.AI
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