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Paper · arXiv

OutageDiT: A Generative Foundation Model for Power Outage Forecasting and Scenario Simulation

Power-outage planning requires scenarios before an event occurs. These scenarios must represent uncertainty in magnitude, timing, and duration while preserving temporal dependence. However, severe events are rare, and data from any single region contain few examples of extreme outage and restoration patterns. To address this challenge, we introduce OutageDiT, a foundation model for generating seven-day outage trajectories at quarter-hour resolution, trained on outage and weather records across the United States. Specifically, a condition encoder processes the historical context and known future covariates once per forecast, and a shallow flow decoder reuses the resulting horizon-aligned s...

AuthorsYunqin Zhu, Feng Qiu, Yao Xie
Primary categorycs.LG
Published1 September 2026
Last updated at source1 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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