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Paper · arXiv

Data-Driven Persona-Conditioned Agents for A/B Test Simulation

A/B testing is the gold standard for evaluating product changes, but each experiment requires real user traffic, engineering effort, and weeks of measurement. We propose a simulation framework that predicts A/B test outcomes using LLM-powered agents conditioned on data-driven personas grounded in real user behavioral signals. Unlike prior work that relies on synthetic or rule-based personas, our agents are constructed from anonymized behavioral data - activity patterns, engagement signals, and inferred demographics - enabling more faithful population modeling. We frame A/B test simulation as a structured question task and systematically study (i) question design formats, (ii) the impact o...

AuthorsZiyad Benomar, Weronika Łajewska, Leonardo Perelli et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published1 September 2026
Last updated at source9 October 2026
cs.AI
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