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Paper · arXiv

FORESIGHT-9: Prospective and Process-Aware Evaluation of Adaptive Trading Agents

Retrospective backtests provide a limited test of adaptive trading agents: they cannot rule out historical contamination, expose sensitivity to a single realized market path, or reveal internal degeneration during long-horizon adaptation. We introduce FORESIGHT-9, a prospective and process-aware benchmark built from nine auditable counterfactual stress worldlines branching from a common July 2026 information boundary. Each worldline specifies staged macro-financial events and joint multi-asset anchors; a deterministic generator realizes the trajectories, while observations are disclosed according to in-world time. A common contract standardizes observations and execution while preserving ...

AuthorsXiangxin Luo, Chengtian Hong, Haohua Li et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published29 August 2026
Last updated at source4 September 2026
cs.AI
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