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Paper · arXiv

Explainable Uncertainty Estimation for Reliable Medical AI

Artificial intelligence has strong potential to support clinical decision-making, yet its adoption in healthcare remains limited due to a lack of trust. Uncertainty estimation can signal unreliable predictions, and explainable AI (XAI) can clarify how predictions are made but existing methods treat them separately, providing no feature-level insight into why a prediction is uncertain or which tests to prioritize to reduce it. To address this gap, we propose explainable uncertainty estimation, which unifies uncertainty estimation and XAI to both quantify uncertainty and explain feature-level contributions. We introduce the Expected Gradients Reconstruction Uncertainty Estimate (egRUE), whi...

AuthorsLi Rong Wang, Jamie Duell, Xinran Xu et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published28 August 2026
Last updated at source28 August 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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