LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery: Probabilistic Fusion of Edge Existence and Orientation
Bayesian network structure learning (BNSL) from observational data struggles with orientation identifiability, while large language models (LLMs) offer broad but often unreliable causal knowledge. We propose combining these complementary sources through a novel representation, termed Probabilistic Dependency Graphs (PDGs). In a PDG, each edge is associated with a distribution over directed, undirected, and absent states, enabling fusion via weighted averaging. We evaluate this approach on 26 benchmark networks, combining ensembles of three BNSL algorithms (FGES, Tabu, PC) with three LLMs (Gemini, Claude, GPT) across multiple prompts and random seeds. A simple 50/50 fusion improves F1 over...
| Authors | Neville K. Kitson, Anthony Constantinou |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.AI |
| Published | 19 August 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 19 August 2026 |
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