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Paper · arXiv

When Interference Graphs Evolve: Doubly Robust Estimation of Dynamic Peer Effects

Peer effects are difficult to estimate when interaction graphs evolve because pre-assignment network history, dynamic peer exposure, and post-assignment network change have distinct causal roles. We introduce a controlled contrast framework that indexes potential outcomes by own treatment, temporally aggregated peer exposure, and a post-assignment evolution summary. Differences between the resulting means define own-treatment, peer-exposure, controlled network-evolution, and joint controlled contrasts rather than a mediation decomposition. We develop the Dynamic Network Doubly Robust estimator, DynaNet-DR, which combines a temporally factorized propensity with normalized augmentation. Und...

AuthorsXiaojing Du
Primary categorycs.LG
Published27 August 2026
Last updated at source27 August 2026
cs.LGcs.SI
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