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Paper · arXiv

When Persona Simulations Are Informative: Graph-Structured Signals for Pluralistic Opinion Sensing

Persona-conditioned large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate survey responses across diverse domains. However, apparent response variation can reflect unconditioned model priors or token sampling noise rather than systematic persona conditioning. We argue that persona-conditioned variation is informative when semantically similar personas exhibit concordant response shifts. To operationalize this principle, we introduce Persona-Conditioned Informativeness (PCI), an unsupervised diagnostic metric that measures whether semantically similar personas deviate in concordant directions relative to item-level sample baselines. By modeling personas as a similarity graph, PCI ...

AuthorsTaehyeon An, Jaehyeong Park, Donghyuk Shin
Primary categorycs.AI
Published23 August 2026
Last updated at source23 August 2026
cs.AIcs.CY
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