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Paper · arXiv

A Data-Driven Approach to State Construction in Markov Models

A Markov chain is a widely used stochastic process modelling random events over time. These models are built on subsets of the entire dataset, referred to as states, which are considered to be homogeneous regarding transition probabilities. However, the creation of these states is often disregarded or based on prior assumption, potentially violating the homogeneity requirement and thus decreasing the validity and predictive power of the model. In order to fill this gap, this paper combines supervised feature selection with unsupervised learning techniques for data-driven state construction. Density-based clustering, spectral clustering, and Kohonen self-organizing maps are examined for th...

AuthorsLinde Van Gestel, Marie-Anne Guerry, Evy Rombaut
Primary categorystat.ML
Published21 August 2026
Last updated at source21 August 2026
stat.MLcs.LGmath.PRstat.ME
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