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Paper · arXiv

Hidden Axis of Uncertainty: Latent-Posterior Alignment in Graph Neural Networks with Bayesian Output Layers

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) with Bayesian output layers provide a principled and tractable framework for quantifying predictive uncertainty, yet the mechanisms shaping that uncertainty remain unclear. While conventional theory attributes uncertainty reduction to posterior contraction, the corresponding assumptions need not hold for deep models. In the Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) with Bayesian output layers studied here, we observe that predictive uncertainty decreases as latent representations shift toward lower-variance posterior directions, even though the posterior variance does not contract. We term this behavior Latent-Posterior Alignment (LPA) and conduct interventional experim...

AuthorsSuk Hoon Choi, Damdae Park, Junhyuk Choi et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published21 August 2026
Last updated at source21 August 2026
cs.LG
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