JuryProbe: An Empirical Consensus-Risk Diagnostic for Routing Reference-Free Factuality Judge Panels to Grounded Verification
Panels of inexpensive LLM judges increasingly make accept-or-escalate decisions. In factuality settings, accepting a claim because several reference-free judges agree can create a hidden risk: agreement may reflect shared false-negative blind spots rather than independent evidence. We introduce JuryProbe, an empirical consensus-risk diagnostic for reference-free factuality judge panels, paired with a calibration-based routing policy. JuryProbe estimates consensus risk from a labeled calibration probe using false-negative-only (FN-only) judge correlation and false-consensus lift; when flagged high-risk, reference-free majority accepts are routed to the same judges with trusted references. ...
| Authors | Tianxin Zhou, Ruixi Lin |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.CL |
| Published | 20 August 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 27 August 2026 |
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