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Paper · arXiv

Credit Without Ground Truth: Auditing Step-Level Credit Assignment in LLM Agents Against Executed Replay

Audited against policy-conditional ground truth from executed replay in a single-agent tool environment (ALFWorld), none of the step-level credit signals we audit -- LLM-judge scores, outcome-conditioned logprob ratios, or the policy's own confidence -- shows reliable incremental fidelity beyond its own marginal-matched shuffled control. Correcting for replay-target reliability leaves implicit fidelity bounded near zero and judge fidelity inconclusive at the achieved target reliability. Existing evaluations grade these signals against annotated step *correctness*; we audit them against step *contribution* -- what re-sampling the policy's own alternatives at each decision point and rolling...

AuthorsHaiyue Zhang
Primary categorycs.LG
Published20 August 2026
Last updated at source25 August 2026
cs.LGcs.AIcs.CL
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