Incident-Data Robustness Analysis of the OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications (2026): How a Community-Expert Ranking Holds Up Against a Large-Scale LLM Incident Corpus
The OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications ranks the risks that a community of security practitioners judges most important. We ask a narrower question: checked against the record of real incidents, does that expert ranking agree with the data? We assembled a large-scale corpus of LLM-security incidents (7,714 snapshotted and 6,639 labeled against the 20-entry taxonomy) drawn from CVE, GHSA, OSV, and AIAAIC, and derived an incident-based ranking with a Bayesian measurement-error model that corrects each category's count for classifier precision and recall. The 2026 candidate list blends the two signals at fixed weights, 0.75 on the expert vote and 0.25 on the data, so the corpus corrects the c...
| Authors | Kyriakos "Rock" Lambros, Steve Wilson |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.CR |
| Published | 18 August 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 18 August 2026 |
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