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Paper · arXiv

From Student Risk Prediction to SC2R: Semantics-Constrained Counterfactual Recourse for Educational Decision Support

Learning analytics models can identify students at risk of poor performance, but they do not directly indicate which interventions are feasible, actionable, and compatible with educational constraints. This paper introduces SC2R, a semantics-constrained counterfactual recourse framework for educational decision support. SC2R combines a calibrated predictive model, integer-programming-based recourse generation over discrete action variables, a lightweight RDF vocabulary for intervention-plan representation, and SHACL validation for enforcing timing, budget, immutability, and availability constraints. The framework is evaluated offline on the OULAD dataset using snapshots constructed relati...

AuthorsNgoc Luyen Le, Marie-Hélène Abel, Bertrand Laforge
Primary categorycs.IR
Published18 August 2026
Last updated at source18 August 2026
cs.IRcs.AI
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