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Paper · arXiv

Which CS1 Students Will Fail? Identifying Digital Markers from Learning Analytics in Computer Systems and Architecture Using Weighted Academic Momentum and Interaction Logs

Digital learning platforms generate rich behavioural traces (digital markers) that offer the potential to identify struggling students early. This paper investigates whether a combination of traditional and digital markers can predict failure in a first-year CS1 course (Computer Systems and Architecture) with sufficient recall to enable timely intervention. Using data from four cohorts (2017-2021, N=284) at a large public university in sub-Saharan Africa, we conducted a mixed-methods stakeholder elicitation to identify ten candidate factors. These were operationalised into a comprehensive feature set spanning demographics, self-reported surveys, Moodle interaction logs, and continuous ass...

AuthorsLighton Phiri, Mutune Chaibela, Ivy Chisha et al.
Primary categorycs.CY
Published16 July 2026
Last updated at source16 July 2026
cs.CYcs.LG
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