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Paper · arXiv

Are You Sure You're Sure? On the Impact of Instruction Tuning on Confidence and Lexical Diversity

Instruction-tuned language models achieve strong performance across a range of generation tasks but have recently been shown to exhibit verbalized overconfidence, which may manifest in less diverse supporting rationales for incorrect answers. However, whether such overconfidence is associated with rationale consistency remains an open question. In this paper, we study whether changes in the lexical diversity of generated answer rationales accompany changes in model confidence induced by instruction tuning. We evaluate three matched base and instruction-tuned models across question-answering benchmarks and find that instruction tuning consistently increases answer confidence, despite limit...

AuthorsIrina Proskurina, Mayank Kumar, Oyindolapo O. Komolafe
Primary categorycs.CL
Published13 August 2026
Last updated at source18 September 2026
cs.CLcs.AI
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