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Paper · arXiv

Interpretable Causal Discovery via Causal-Effect Constraints

Causal discovery aims to uncover the underlying causal relationships given data generated from a system. The goal, however, is not merely to predict causal edges given data, but also to be able to interpret and explain either observed or hypothesized phenomena, such as a particularly large causal effect. We consider this task of conditional causal discovery and cast it as a Bayesian inference problem, in which we target the posterior over causal graphs and parameters conditional on an event such as a causal-effect constraint. Unfortunately, this poses a computational challenge: existing approaches to Bayesian causal discovery struggle when the event has small posterior mass. To address th...

AuthorsCixuan Zhang, Guy Van den Broeck, Benjie Wang
Primary categorycs.LG
Published12 August 2026
Last updated at source12 August 2026
cs.LGcs.AIstat.MLstat.OT
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