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Paper · arXiv

Long-Horizon Forecasting of Complete Financial Statements with Forma

Specialist training beats generalist scale when forecasting financial statements. To our knowledge, no prior work jointly forecasts complete financial statements beyond one year, yet in a discounted-cash-flow valuation most firm value sits past that window. We release ProForma-20Q, a reproducible benchmark for forecasting 78 statement line items 1-20 quarters ahead, for anonymized firms, from past statements and an industry code, scored by change-space $R^2$. On it, Forma, a transformer that reads statements as sets of (account, quarter, value) tuples and maximizes a masked-tuple Gaussian likelihood, beats every competitor we field: classical machine learning, chained gradient boosting, a...

AuthorsTravis L. Johnson, Jiannan Jiang, Soumyabrata Chaudhuri et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published11 August 2026
Last updated at source11 August 2026
cs.LGq-fin.CP
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