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Paper · arXiv

FarSky: Task-Aware Latent-Space Coupling for Generative Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting

Accurate solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the reliable integration of photovoltaic power into modern electricity grids. All-sky imagers (ASI) provide high-resolution observations of clouds, making them well suited for intra-hour forecasting. Recent deep learning approaches have substantially improved forecast accuracy but are often limited by deterministic predictions and a reduced capability to anticipate ramp events. This work proposes FarSky, a generative forecasting framework that leverages latent-space coupling to learn task-aware representations of sky images. A multi-task autoencoder first learns a shared latent representation for image reconstruction and irradiance es...

AuthorsYann Fabel, Bijan Nouri, Milon Miah et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published6 August 2026
Last updated at source6 August 2026
cs.LGphysics.ao-phstat.AP
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