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Paper · arXiv

Financial Numerical Prediction and Allocation as Token Generation

Financial prediction typically relies on task-specific regression, ranking, or policy heads, separating the language model from the numerical object ultimately evaluated. We investigate whether a causal language model can instead represent forecasts and decisions directly through constrained token generation. FinATOM introduces a unified, head-free interface for three-step stock-return forecasting and dynamic five-ETF allocation. The forecasting model autoregressively emits volatility-standardized return tokens and is trained with ordinal and ranking supervision followed by a one-epoch token-level policy stage. The allocation model generates normalized long-only weights; supervised fine-t...

AuthorsXu Ouyang, Moontae Lee
Primary categorycs.CV
Published10 August 2026
Last updated at source10 August 2026
cs.CVcs.LG
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