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Paper · arXiv

The Replay Gap: Static Evaluation of Model Switching in LLM Agents Scores the Wrong World

LLM routers promise efficiency by matching each request to the cheapest adequate model, and are increasingly applied per step inside multi-step agents. Yet agentic routers are evaluated like single-turn routers: by replaying logged trajectories and substituting another model's recorded outputs, assuming the rest of the trajectory is unaffected. We test this assumption with branching rollouts: we fork live SWE-bench agent trajectories at controlled points, rebuild the environment, continue each fork with a different model, and compare against same-model control forks that isolate sampling and replay noise. Across six paired runs (~900 rollouts), swaps exceed their matched control floors by...

AuthorsAshritha Gonuguntla
Primary categorycs.LG
Published8 August 2026
Last updated at source8 August 2026
cs.LGcs.CL
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