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Paper · arXiv

HeatCast: A Benchmark for Neighborhood-Scale LST Forecasting across 124 U.S. Cities

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a widely used satellite-derived measure of urban surface heat, but there is no shared benchmark for forecasting it at 30 m. Prior studies usually cover one to three cities, use kilometer-scale products, or do not release data and code. We introduce HeatCast, a Landsat-based benchmark for monthly LST forecasting across 124 U.S. cities from 2013 through June 2025. HeatCast contains 30 m monthly tiles with LST, elevation, surfacereflectance RGB, three spectral indices, broadband albedo, quality masks, and Local Climate Zone (LCZ) labels, together with a fixed temporal split, LCZ-stratified metrics, and a reference evaluation harness. We evaluate a CNN+LSTM a...

AuthorsJesus Guerrero, Isaac Corley, Leon Najafirad et al.
Primary categorycs.CV
Published7 August 2026
Last updated at source7 August 2026
cs.CV
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