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Paper · arXiv

Do Tabular Foundation Models Agree with Themselves?

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) are currently the best approach to tabular prediction problems. They are constructed as transformers that approximate the Bayesian posterior predictive distribution based on a pre-training prior. These univariate predictors can be converted into multivariate ones autoregressively by sampling one target and adding it to the features. However, the faithfulness of the resulting joint has not been investigated. Furthermore, TFMs cannot be evaluated against the posterior itself, at least not on real-world datasets, because the ground-truth distribution is unknown. We therefore propose asking a different question: could a model's predictions result from any join...

AuthorsChristian Klötergens, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published6 August 2026
Last updated at source6 August 2026
cs.LG
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