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Paper · arXiv

Respect Your Zero-Shot Uncertainty: Conservative Calibration for Test-Time-Adapted Vision-Language Models

Test-time adaptation (TTA) can improve the recognition accuracy of vision-language models under distribution shift, but often degrades calibration, making predictive confidence unreliable for downstream decision-making. Many existing label-free calibration approaches are either coupled to prompt optimization or rely on logit-range statistics that provide only a coarse characterization of the predictive distribution. We show that TTA can increase confidence and reduce entropy even when the top-1 prediction and its correctness remain unchanged, a failure mode we term prediction-preserving sharpening. Across diverse TTA methods and benchmarks, larger entropy reductions relative to paired zer...

AuthorsJingyan Jiang, Yaru Sun, Xiao Chen et al.
Primary categorycs.CV
Published6 August 2026
Last updated at source6 August 2026
cs.CV
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