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Paper · arXiv

From Continuous Predictors to Clinical Thresholds: Early Evidence on Performance Trade-offs of Guideline-Based Categorisation for Ischaemic Stroke Outcome Prediction

Machine learning models achieve strong predictive accuracy for 90-day outcome prediction in acute ischaemic stroke, yet clinical adoption is limited by the misalignment of model explanations with clinicians' reasoning. Motivated by a clinician user study calling for clinical guideline-aligned cut-offs, we ask whether continuous predictors can be replaced by clinically informed categorical encodings without sacrificing performance. On a multi-centre European registry stratified into three treatment cohorts, we compare standard and fully categorised gradient-boosted models, the latter using stroke guideline-aligned, treatment-specific thresholds. The fully categorised models are statistical...

AuthorsEsra Zihni, Katryna Cisek, Hamzah Ziadeh et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published5 August 2026
Last updated at source5 August 2026
cs.AIcs.LG
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