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Predicting Deep Neural Network Training Outcomes from Early Training Telemetry

Large hyperparameter sweeps for deep neural networks spend substantial compute on configurations that are effectively doomed from the first few epochs. We study whether a single training run's own early telemetry - per-epoch loss, training accuracy, gradient signal-to-noise ratio, weight-norm growth, and an activation-saturation snapshot - together with its sampled hyperparameters, can predict that run's eventual outcome without reference to other runs. We evaluate three prediction tasks: final test accuracy, relative performance within a domain, and training-dynamics failure, including numerical divergence. Across 23,788 training runs spanning six architecture/dataset combinations, gradi...

AuthorsRanjita Naik, Anh D. Nguyen, Pankaj Kumar Singh
Primary categorycs.CL
Published4 August 2026
Last updated at source4 August 2026
cs.CL
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