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Paper · arXiv

DUD: Decoupled Update Dynamics for Reliable Uncertainty Quantification in Large Language Models

Accurate Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is critical for reliable deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet traditional probability-based metrics often fail to capture the model's true epistemic state. While recent mechanistic approaches leverage hidden state dynamics, they typically aggregate residual stream updates, conflating the distinct roles of parametric memory (Feed-Forward Networks) and contextual processing (Attention). We argue that this aggregation obscures fine-grained mechanistic conflicts, such as memory-context misalignment, that are fundamental indicators of uncertainty. To address this, we introduce \textbf{D}ecoupled \textbf{U}pdate \textbf{D}ynamics \textbf{(DUD)...

AuthorsYixin Bu, Runze Xia, Guanyun Zou et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published4 August 2026
Last updated at source4 August 2026
cs.CL
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