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Paper · arXiv

An AI-Based Decision-Support Pipeline for Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Forecasting

Reliable photovoltaic (PV) forecasts can support low-carbon energy systems, but deployed sites may have only short and incomplete records. Physical and hybrid methods can be sensitive to weather inputs, calibration, and timestamp-alignment, while individual machine learning models may capture different parts of the forecasting problem. We study hourly day-ahead PV forecasting at a United Kingdom charging station using one year of inverter measurements, with 9.25% of hours missing. The pipeline checks timestamp-alignment, derives solar and clearness features, adds short-term weather context, and combines five complementary models using non-negative least squares stacking, with the combinat...

AuthorsFariba Dehghan, Sebastian Stein, Vahid Yazdanpanah et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published3 August 2026
Last updated at source8 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AIeess.SY
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