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Paper · arXiv

Isotonic Bradley-Terry Model for Paired Comparison Data

In this paper, we study prediction problems for paired comparison data, for example, predicting the win probability between two unmatched players and ranking all the players according to the order of their strengths by using win probability data between two matched players. Paired comparison data are typically analyzed using Bradley-Terry and Thurstone-Mosteller models. These models predict the win probability by transforming the difference between learned rate parameters, which represent players'\;strengths, with a pre-specified inverse link function, and employ the order of learned rate parameters for player ranking. However, these models may suffer from model misspecification owing to ...

AuthorsRyoya Yamasaki
Primary categorycs.LG
Published3 August 2026
Last updated at source3 August 2026
cs.LG
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