Talking to Digital Twins: Selective Disclosure and Belief Measurement in Financial Social Media
Social media affect financial markets, but public posts by financial media personas are voluntary disclosures. What is not disclosed is therefore usually unobserved. We address this measurement problem by conducting repeated, real-time interviews of "digital twins" built from monitored finfluencers' X accounts under a fixed protocol. The interviews recover stock-level public-persona belief proxies even when no public recommendation is made. Because the interviews are generated and archived before the relevant return windows, the design avoids the look-ahead bias that arises when LLMs are queried ex post. The evidence shows that information obtained from these digital-twin interviews predi...
| Authors | Boone Bowles, Raymond Duch, Sorin Sorescu |
|---|---|
| Primary category | econ.GN |
| Published | 2 August 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 2 August 2026 |
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