Predicting Startup Exit from Textual Descriptors - A Computational Linguistics Framework

This study shows that textual descriptors alone can predict early-stage startup success, defined as Exit, without relying on contextual, financial, or human capital variables. Using venture capital-curated datasets covering 7,419 startups over 20 years, the research isolates text-based framing variables and engineers 850 features via startup narrative mapping. Data subsets and vector embeddings are evaluated for statistical significance, followed by supervised machine learning experiments across six models. Binary Exit prediction using Logistic Regression attains an F1 of 0.48 with 0.55 recall using all features (excluding embeddings), and an F1 of 0.26 with 0.59 recall using textual desc...

<iframe src="https://silytics.si/embed/item/7c00726e-e6e2-49f1-8754-330cdda32522" width="420" height="190" style="border:0" loading="lazy" title="Silytics entry"></iframe>

Silytics shows public metadata from arXiv and links to the original. Information may be incomplete or out of date. Last refreshed 17 October 2026. Licenses and terms of the original apply to the work itself. Not financial, legal or professional advice.