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Paper · arXiv

Information Bottleneck Learning for Faithful Time Series Forecasting Explanations

As forecasts increasingly drive decisions in fields such as energy, transportation, and healthcare, understanding the historical data behind these predictions has become as crucial as the predictions themselves. Although existing interpretable-by-design forecasters reveal their internal structures, they offer no guarantee that these structures faithfully reflect the underlying evidence driving the predictions. In contrast, while faithfulness-oriented methods explicitly verify model behavior, they are almost exclusively designed for post-hoc classification tasks. To bridge this gap, we propose IB-Forecast, an inherently interpretable multivariate time-series forecasting framework. It decom...

AuthorsXu Zheng, Wei Cheng, Zhuomin Chen et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published30 July 2026
Last updated at source30 July 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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