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Paper · arXiv

From Keypoints to Predictive Distributions: Post-Hoc Uncertainty for YOLO-Pose Models

YOLO-Pose models provide efficient keypoint localization, but do not quantify the associated spatial uncertainty. We introduce a lightweight post-hoc probabilistic extension that augments a trained YOLO-Pose model with calibrated bivariate predictive distributions over keypoint locations, centered at the model's original predictions. Concretely, we train additional probabilistic heads with an importance-weighted negative log-likelihood to predict an input-dependent $2\times2$ dispersion matrix for each keypoint, followed by Gaussian calibration for broad downstream compatibility or Student-$t$ calibration for distributional fidelity. Complementing this, we propose an evaluation protocol t...

AuthorsAlexej Klushyn, Juan Rivero Sesma, Florian Seligmann et al.
Primary categorycs.CV
Published29 July 2026
Last updated at source29 July 2026
cs.CV
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