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Paper · arXiv

DRIFT: Direct-Recursive Intervention-Conditioned Forecasting of ICU Physiological Trajectories

Many time-series forecasts depend not only on prior observations but also on actions specified during the forecast period. In intensive care units (ICUs), future vital signs and laboratory values are influenced by treatments such as vasopressors. However, models that predict the full future sequence all at once make little use of these treatments, whereas autoregressive models can accumulate errors. We introduce DRIFT, a hybrid framework in which a direct model produces the primary forecast and a recursive, action-conditioned model contributes constrained corrections. We evaluate DRIFT on 6,046 admissions from MIMIC-IV and 8,345 admissions from eICU-CRD. Averaged across the 8-, 24-, and 4...

AuthorsWeixin Liu, Juming Xiong, Congning Ni et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published28 July 2026
Last updated at source28 July 2026
cs.LGeess.SP
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