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Paper · arXiv

Bigger or Cheaper? Scale and Quantization Effects on Uncertainty Signals in Vision-Language Models Under Image Degradation

Vision-language models (VLMs) deployed on consumer hardware must decide when to answer and when to defer, and that decision depends on having a confidence signal that tracks correctness. A practitioner with a fixed memory budget faces a choice between a small model at full precision, the same small model quantized, and a larger model quantized into the same footprint -- three configurations that push the confidence signal in opposing directions. We measure, on identical inputs, how model scale and 4-bit quantization affect two confidence signals in the Qwen2-VL family: the confidence a model states in natural language, and its own mean token probability over the answer it generates. Acros...

AuthorsM M Asif Ferdous
Primary categorycs.CV
Published27 July 2026
Last updated at source27 July 2026
cs.CVcs.CLcs.LG
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