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Paper · arXiv

surprisal is Not a Theory

Surprisal Theory is often characterized as a computational-level explanation per (Marr, 1982). We argue in this work that, even though a computational level narrative has been used to support "representation-agnostic research" within computational psycholinguistics, the movement toward black box systems embodied by large language models (LLMs) does not exempt modelers using the surprisal metric from the representational decisions required by computational-level characterizations. In fact, we argue that the uncritical use of LLM-surprisal obfuscates the representational and algorithmic-level commitments of different models. In three analyses, we show that the choice of algorithm and model ...

AuthorsAndrés Buxó-Lugo, Aniello De Santo, Morgan Grobol et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published22 July 2026
Last updated at source15 September 2026
cs.CL
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