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Paper · arXiv

A Causal Markov Condition for Value

This paper proposes a causal independence principle for value -- the value Causal Markov Condition (v-CMC) -- and develops the conceptual and mathematical foundations of a "causal value theory" linking causality and utility. After motivating a local formulation of the v-CMC, we introduce a probability-value duality that translates standard causal-inference results into the value setting. In particular, we formulate local, global, and decomposition versions of the v-CMC and prove their equivalence. We also define v-separation and show that it is sound and complete for conditional value independence. Furthermore, we derive a Bellman-type recursion as a special case of the v-CMC, thereby gen...

AuthorsOlav Benjamin Vassend
Primary categorystat.ML
Published18 July 2026
Last updated at source18 July 2026
stat.MLcs.AIcs.LG
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