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Paper · arXiv

A Semiparametric Framework for Stochastic Fundamental Diagram Modeling

The stochastic fundamental diagram (SFD) provides a probabilistic description of the relationship between traffic density and flow or speed, enabling uncertainty-aware traffic modeling. However, existing stochastic models frequently struggle to accommodate rigorous physical constraints while retaining sufficient flexibility to capture complex nonlinear patterns. To address this, we propose a novel semiparametric SFD modeling framework by leveraging specially designed functional forms. These functions intrinsically satisfy physical constraints defined on the moments of the conditional flow distribution given traffic density while incorporating neural-network-based structures to capture com...

AuthorsPengnan Chi, Xiaoliang Ma, Magnus Jansson et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published17 July 2026
Last updated at source17 July 2026
cs.LG
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