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Paper · arXiv

Analytic Abduction: Causal Decomposition and Governed Commitment for Human--AI Coordination

Abductive reasoning operates in two directions. The synthetic mode builds explanations from available hypotheses; the analytic mode, conversely, identifies the latent factors whose interaction accounts for a complex observed state. This paper develops the analytic mode as a non-greedy, risk-sensitive discipline of commitment, in which candidate factors coexist and interact, resolving into committed conclusions only when explicit governance conditions are met. The formal core is the $κ$-$τ$ apparatus: $κ$ encodes the epistemic interaction among hypotheses, and $τ$ sets a commitment threshold calibrated to the decision's stakes. The central contribution is the causal cluster, a structured o...

AuthorsRemo Pareschi
Primary categorycs.AI
Published16 July 2026
Last updated at source16 July 2026
cs.AI
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