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Paper · arXiv

Analogical Deep Research: Retrieving and Integrating Historical Analogies for Foresight Analysis

Systematic comparisons between current situations and structurally similar past events in the historical, i.e., historical analogies, is among the most powerful tools for foresight analysis. In this work, we present a new task called Analogical Deep Research (ADR) to Large Language Model (LLM) agents and construct the first ADR benchmark ADR-bench to study whether LLM agents are able to find and leverage historical analogies when doing foresight analysis. Our investigation reveals a key obstacle: LLM agents are poor at finding analogies because they match on surface features rather than underlying mechanisms. We argue that ADR is inherently a causal question as it requires understanding w...

AuthorsYongqiang Chen, Guangyi Chen, Yuewen Sun et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published15 July 2026
Last updated at source15 July 2026
cs.CLcs.LGstat.ML
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