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Paper · arXiv

Solution of the Hempel's statistical ambiguity problem and Causal AI

This paper addresses Carl Hempel's longstanding problem of statistical ambiguity in inductive-statistical inference, in which contradictory predictions are derived from statistical laws. To avoid such predictions, Carl Hempel proposed the Requirement of Maximal Specificity (RMS) for the statistical laws used in the inference. An analysis of the RMS refinements made by Wesley Salmon, Alberto Coffa, and James Fetzer led to the following definition of maximally specific statistical laws: "the lawlike premises of an adequate explanation must specify all and only those properties whose presence or absence made a difference to the occurrence of its explanandum-phenomenon." However, there was no...

AuthorsEvgenii Vityaev
Primary categorycs.AI
Published14 July 2026
Last updated at source14 July 2026
cs.AI
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