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Paper · arXiv

LLMs Can See the Smoke but not the Fire: Evaluating Abductive Reasoning with Elenchos

Large language models (LLMs) excel at pattern recognition and text generation, but their capacity for abductive inference - inferring latent hypotheses that explain observed behavior - remains poorly understood. Here, we introduce Elenchos (named after the Socratic method of cross-examination), a generative evaluation framework that measures abductive reasoning as a structural inverse problem. Given a reference formal system, such as the lambda-calculus, and a potentially mutated counterpart, agents must determine whether a mutation has occurred and infer the rule modifications responsible for the resulting behavioral differences. Evaluating frontier and mid-tier LLMs reveals a consistent...

AuthorsJulius Steiglechner, Lucas Mahler, Gabriele Lohmann
Primary categorycs.AI
Published14 July 2026
Last updated at source14 July 2026
cs.AIcs.LG
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