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Paper · arXiv

NeuroMem-FHP: A Likelihood-Free Deep Learning Framework for Parameter Estimation of Fractional Hawkes Process

In this paper, we propose deep learning based NeuroMem-FHP framework for estimating the parameters of the fractional Hawkes process (FHP), a self-exciting point process that captures long-range dependence through a fractional Mittag-Leffler excitation kernel. Two neural architectures, namely a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and a Transformer, are developed to estimate the model parameters $(μ,γ,α,β)$ directly from sequences of inter-arrival times without requiring computationally intensive likelihood optimization. Experiments on synthetic data that both neural models significantly outperform the classical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method, with the Transformer achieving th...

AuthorsNeha Gupta, Aditya Maheshwari
Primary categorycs.LG
Published13 July 2026
Last updated at source13 July 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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