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Paper · arXiv

Diachronic Sample Integration: Robust Tail-Risk Estimation with Generative Models

Deep generative models are increasingly used as simulators for downstream decision-making under data scarcity, but in risk-sensitive applications their usefulness depends on rare adverse scenarios rather than typical samples. Standard generative objectives prioritize bulk distributional fidelity, leaving low-probability tails vulnerable to localized optimization noise and making tail-dependent functionals unstable under finite simulation budgets. We introduce Diachronic Sample Integration (DSI), a test-time inference framework that ensembles generated samples across checkpoints from a stochastic training trajectory. DSI targets a checkpoint-mixture distribution that averages checkpoint-sp...

AuthorsShuning Zhao, Patrick Wong, Leran Zhang et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published12 July 2026
Last updated at source12 July 2026
cs.LGcs.AIq-fin.RM
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