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Paper · arXiv

Spectrally Deconfounded Gradient Boosting

Flexible machine-learning methods can be sensitive to hidden confounding: they may learn associations induced by unobserved confounders rather than stable signals. Spectral deconfounding mitigates this problem by shrinking high-variance directions of the covariate matrix that, under dense confounding, carry latent confounder information. Existing work has largely focused on linear models. We develop a nonlinear spectral deconfounding framework for gradient boosting. Our approach replaces the ordinary squared-error loss by a spectral loss, which alters the boosting dynamics by slowing down learning in confounding-aligned directions. We show that deconfounding is not achieved by the spectra...

AuthorsAndrea Nava, Peter Bühlmann, Fabio Sigrist
Primary categorystat.ML
Published10 July 2026
Last updated at source10 July 2026
stat.MLcs.LG
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