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Paper · arXiv

The Optimal Sample Complexity of Learning Autoregressive Chain-of-Thought

We prove that, in the realizable PAC setting, the sample complexity of exact-trace learning for full autoregressive Chain-of-Thought traces is upper bounded by the standard multiclass rate of the local next-token class, where this rate is governed by the Daniely--Shalev-Shwartz dimension. Under exact-trace loss, one wrong action makes the whole trace incorrect; nevertheless, for every stopping rule $\mathtt{halt}$ and every pointwise $\mathtt{halt}$-halting local class $\mathrm{H}$, $n_{\mathrm{PAC}}^{\varepsilon,δ}(\operatorname{Roll}_{\mathtt{halt}}(\mathrm{H}))=O((\operatorname{DSdim}(\mathrm{H})+\log(1/δ))/\varepsilon)$, with no dependence on rollout length. The dependence on $\operat...

AuthorsZhiyuan Li
Primary categorycs.LG
Published8 July 2026
Last updated at source8 July 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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