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Paper · arXiv

Towards Metric-Agnostic Trajectory Forecasting

Accurate trajectory forecasting of surrounding traffic participants is a core capability for autonomous driving, enabling vehicles to anticipate behavior and plan safe maneuvers. We observe that current state-of-the-art forecasting models on Argoverse 2 and the Waymo Open Motion Dataset tailor their training objectives to the different benchmark metrics. Because these metrics encourage conflicting behavior, we propose a paradigm change for trajectory forecasting: training models with metric-agnostic probabilistic objectives and treating metric optimization as a downstream task applied to the predictive distribution. Concretely, we introduce Trajectory Distribution Evaluation (TraDiE) poli...

AuthorsMarkus Knoche, Daan de Geus, Bastian Leibe
Primary categorycs.CV
Published1 July 2026
Last updated at source1 July 2026
cs.CVcs.RO
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